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National Fireground Score · 2024

Kentucky

51st of 51RisingHigh data coverage
National rank
51st
vs. national avg
-21
Region
South
Data year
2024
Analyst summary · auto-generated

Kentucky ranks 51st of 51 on the National Fireground Score, placing it among the weakest in the country. Its composite of 34 sits 21 points below the national average of 54.6. The score is shaped most by thin readiness and funding and an elevated fire burden, with above-median community vulnerability also weighing on the result. On expected-vs-actual, Kentucky performs close to what its conditions predict. Funding does not appear to match the fire risk this state carries. Kentucky ranks 49th in funding per capita and 7th in fire burden.

Generated from this state's sourced metrics. In production, the narrative is produced by the Fireground Analytics engine.

What drives the score

Score breakdown

Three sub-scores combine into the composite. Burden and Vulnerability are inverted so a higher composite always means a stronger position.

Fire Burden40% weight
61 · nat 43
How hard is fire hitting this state relative to its size? Lower is better.
Fire Vulnerability25% weight
73 · nat 54
How exposed is this community to fire loss? Lower is better.
Fire Readiness35% weight
33 · nat 58
How well-resourced is this state for its risk? Higher is better.
How it builds the composite
16
Burden+16 pts
Vulnerability+7 pts
Readiness+12 pts
National Fireground Score34

Composite = 0.40 × (100 − Burden) + 0.25 × (100 − Vulnerability) + 0.35 × Readiness. Burden and Vulnerability are inverted so that a higher composite always means a stronger position.

Signature analysis

Expected vs. actual performance

Is this state doing better or worse than its risk profile predicts?

Expected vs. actual fire burden
Near expected range

Actual fire burden tracks closely with what conditions predict.

Residual
-2
actual − expected
Expected 63
Actual 61
Lower burden →← Higher burden

Expected burden is modeled from Kentucky's vulnerability and demographic profile. A marker left of the band means fewer fire losses than conditions predict; right of the band means more. This is a benchmark signal, not a finding of cause. In production this model is the Fireground Analytics risk-adjusted engine.

Accountability

Funding & the burden it has to match

Grants, per-capita funding, and tax revenue set against the fire burden this state actually carries.

Accountability classification
High burden / low funding

Funding does not appear to match the fire risk this state carries.

Fire grant funding
$34.4M
federal, total
Funding per capita
$53
49th nationally
Fire tax / district revenue
$28
per capita
Emergency services investment
$58
per capita
Fire burden rank
7th
1 = highest burden
Funding rank
49th
1 = most funded

Are we funding fire service at a level that matches our risk?

Burden vs. funding — all 51 jurisdictions
High burden · low fundingHigh burden · high fundingLow burden · low fundingLow burden · high fundingKY
← Less fundedMore funded →
Context

How it compares

Regional peers, similar-population states, and similar-vulnerability states — measured against the same benchmark.

Open full compare →
5-year fireground score+2 since 2020· improvingRank fell 2 · 4951

Risers & fallers reflect movement in Kentucky's national position over the trailing five reporting years.

What to investigate next

Key insights

Sharp, sourced takeaways a chief or council member could act on.

Biggest strength

Population in poverty ranks 39th nationally (18.4 %) — a top differentiator for Kentucky.

Biggest weakness

Population age 65+ ranks 50th of 51 (20.8 %), the metric dragging hardest on the composite.

Funding mismatch

Kentucky carries a high fire burden (7th) but ranks only 49th in funding per capita — the central accountability question for its leaders.

Grant opportunity

Federal fire grant funding per capita sits in the 4th percentile — headroom to compete for AFG, SAFER, and mitigation dollars.

Risk factor to monitor

Housing built before 1970 (46 %, 46th) is a structural vulnerability worth watching as housing and demographics shift.

Full transparency

Every metric, every source

The complete sourced dataset behind this report card. Each figure links to its public origin.

Every figure is traceable to a public source
MetricValueState percentileNat. rankYearSourceQuality
Fire incidents per 1,000 residents
7 per 1k
90th
46th2024U.S. Fire AdministrationReported
Fire deaths per 100k
1.6 per 100k
82nd
43rd2024Centers for Disease Control and PreventionReported
Fire injuries per 100k
11.1 per 100k
90th
46th2024U.S. Fire AdministrationReported
Fire property loss per capita
$135
86th
44th2024U.S. Fire AdministrationReported
Population in poverty
18.4%
76th
39th2024U.S. Census BureauReported
Population age 65+
20.8%
98th
50th2024U.S. Census BureauModeled estimate
Housing built before 1970
46%
90th
46th2024U.S. Census BureauModeled estimate
Rural population
45%
76th
39th2024U.S. Census BureauModeled estimate
Social vulnerability index
0.69
78th
40th2024Federal Emergency Management AgencyReported
Federal fire grant funding per capita
$8
4th
49th2024Federal Emergency Management AgencyReported
Fire protection expenditure per capita
$105
10th
46th2024U.S. Census BureauReported
Fire tax / special-district revenue per capita
$28
6th
48th2024U.S. Census BureauReported
Firefighters per 1,000 residents
1.9 per 1k
14th
44th2024U.S. Fire Administration; National Fire Protection AssociationReported
NFIRS / NERIS reporting completeness
96%
64th
14th2024U.S. Fire AdministrationReported
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Go deeper than the public scorecard

The National Fireground Scorecard shows where Kentucky stands. Fireground Analytics shows the counties, departments, and decisions behind it — and what to do next.

Advanced analytics by Fireground Analytics. Public scores remain free, neutral, and fully sourced.

Sample data for demonstration only — not real rankings. See the methodology and sources. An initiative of Fireground Analytics.