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Strong
National Fireground Score · 2024

Texas

4th of 51Stable+2 ranksLow data coverage
National rank
4th
vs. national avg
+11
Region
South
Data year
2024
Analyst summary · auto-generated

Texas ranks 4th of 51 on the National Fireground Score, placing it among the strongest in the country. Its composite of 66 sits 11 points above the national average of 54.6. The score is shaped most by solid readiness and funding and a comparatively low fire burden. Texas is outperforming expectations: actual fire burden runs roughly 13 points below what its risk profile would predict. Investment exceeds what current fire burden alone would require. Texas ranks 9th in funding per capita and 39th in fire burden.

Generated from this state's sourced metrics. In production, the narrative is produced by the Fireground Analytics engine.

What drives the score

Score breakdown

Three sub-scores combine into the composite. Burden and Vulnerability are inverted so a higher composite always means a stronger position.

Fire Burden40% weight
32 · nat 43
How hard is fire hitting this state relative to its size? Lower is better.
Fire Vulnerability25% weight
40 · nat 54
How exposed is this community to fire loss? Lower is better.
Fire Readiness35% weight
68 · nat 58
How well-resourced is this state for its risk? Higher is better.
How it builds the composite
27
15
24
Burden+27 pts
Vulnerability+15 pts
Readiness+24 pts
National Fireground Score66

Composite = 0.40 × (100 − Burden) + 0.25 × (100 − Vulnerability) + 0.35 × Readiness. Burden and Vulnerability are inverted so that a higher composite always means a stronger position.

Signature analysis

Expected vs. actual performance

Is this state doing better or worse than its risk profile predicts?

Expected vs. actual fire burden
Outperforming expectations

Actual fire burden is materially lower than its risk profile predicts.

Residual
-13
actual − expected
Expected 45
Actual 32
Lower burden →← Higher burden

Expected burden is modeled from Texas's vulnerability and demographic profile. A marker left of the band means fewer fire losses than conditions predict; right of the band means more. This is a benchmark signal, not a finding of cause. In production this model is the Fireground Analytics risk-adjusted engine.

Accountability

Funding & the burden it has to match

Grants, per-capita funding, and tax revenue set against the fire burden this state actually carries.

Accountability classification
Low burden / high funding

Investment exceeds what current fire burden alone would require.

Fire grant funding
$402.6M
federal, total
Funding per capita
$94
9th nationally
Fire tax / district revenue
$41
per capita
Emergency services investment
$90
per capita
Fire burden rank
39th
1 = highest burden
Funding rank
9th
1 = most funded

Are we funding fire service at a level that matches our risk?

Burden vs. funding — all 51 jurisdictions
High burden · low fundingHigh burden · high fundingLow burden · low fundingLow burden · high fundingTX
← Less fundedMore funded →
Context

How it compares

Regional peers, similar-population states, and similar-vulnerability states — measured against the same benchmark.

Open full compare →
5-year fireground score+2 since 2020· improvingRank fell 2 · 24

Risers & fallers reflect movement in Texas's national position over the trailing five reporting years.

What to investigate next

Key insights

Sharp, sourced takeaways a chief or council member could act on.

Biggest strength

Population in poverty ranks 8th nationally (10.7 %) — a top differentiator for Texas.

Biggest weakness

Fire tax / special-district revenue per capita ranks 34th of 51 (41 USD), the metric dragging hardest on the composite.

Investment ahead of burden

Funding per capita (9th) outpaces measured fire burden (39th) — resources appear well ahead of current risk.

Risk factor to monitor

Housing built before 1970 (24 %, 9th) is a structural vulnerability worth watching as housing and demographics shift.

Full transparency

Every metric, every source

The complete sourced dataset behind this report card. Each figure links to its public origin.

Every figure is traceable to a public source
MetricValueState percentileNat. rankYearSourceQuality
Fire incidents per 1,000 residents
2.9 per 1k
14th
9th2024U.S. Fire AdministrationModeled estimate
Fire deaths per 100k
0.9 per 100k
26th
18th2024Centers for Disease Control and PreventionModeled estimate
Fire injuries per 100k
4.1 per 100k
22nd
12th2024U.S. Fire AdministrationModeled estimate
Fire property loss per capita
$54
16th
10th2024U.S. Fire AdministrationModeled estimate
Population in poverty
10.7%
14th
8th2024U.S. Census BureauModeled estimate
Population age 65+
16.2%
40th
21st2024U.S. Census BureauModeled estimate
Housing built before 1970
24%
12th
9th2024U.S. Census BureauModeled estimate
Rural population
27%
26th
15th2024U.S. Census BureauModeled estimate
Social vulnerability index
0.37
16th
11th2024Federal Emergency Management AgencyModeled estimate
Federal fire grant funding per capita
$13
56th
23rd2024Federal Emergency Management AgencyModeled estimate
Fire protection expenditure per capita
$184
62nd
20th2024U.S. Census BureauModeled estimate
Fire tax / special-district revenue per capita
$41
34th
34th2024U.S. Census BureauModeled estimate
Firefighters per 1,000 residents
3.7 per 1k
70th
16th2024U.S. Fire Administration; National Fire Protection AssociationModeled estimate
NFIRS / NERIS reporting completeness
85%
6th
48th2024U.S. Fire AdministrationReported
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Go deeper than the public scorecard

The National Fireground Scorecard shows where Texas stands. Fireground Analytics shows the counties, departments, and decisions behind it — and what to do next.

Advanced analytics by Fireground Analytics. Public scores remain free, neutral, and fully sourced.

Sample data for demonstration only — not real rankings. See the methodology and sources. An initiative of Fireground Analytics.