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Minnesota/Methodology
Methodology mn-1.0.0-public

How the Minnesota Fireground Index is computed

The Minnesota Fireground Index aggregates the best available public fire data for each county — Minnesota's 87 counties. The Overall score is a transparent normalization of the civilian fire-death rate (Minnesota State Fire Marshal Division fire-fatality counts per Census population) — the one metric genuinely comparable across every county. Incident/response counts are shown as sourced context where a county publishes them, and metrics with no authoritative public source are shown as unavailable. Data Confidence reflects how much verifiable public evidence backs each county.

The comparable metric (scored)

The one fire metric that is genuinely comparable across every Minnesota county is the civilian fire-death rate: average annual civilian fire deaths per 100,000 residents over 2018-2019. Deaths come from the Minnesota State Fire Marshal Division annual report (civilian fire fatalities by county, compiled by the State Fire Marshal’s Office and corroborated by its record-level fatalities grid — incident-based, i.e. counted where the fire occurred; exact, un-suppressed counts including 0/1/2); population comes from the U.S. Census Bureau. The rate is a direct, reproducible calculation —(2018–2021 deaths ÷ 3 reporting years) ÷ population × 100,000— not an estimate.

The Overall score (transparent normalization)

The Overall Fireground Index score normalizes that rate across the 87 counties: a z-score, inverted so a lower fire-death rate yields a higher score, centered at 50and clamped to 0-100:score = clamp(50 − z × 18, 0, 100). There is no black box. The platform's multi-dimensional scoring engine is reserved for when multiple comparable metrics exist; with one comparable fire metric today, this single transparent normalization is used instead.

Context metrics (shown, not compared)

Where a county publishes an incident/response figure, it is shown as sourced context with its exact definition and reporting year. These counts use incompatible definitions across counties (total incidents vs. calls for service vs. unit responses, and fiscal- vs. calendar-year), so they are never normalized into a cross-county comparison — that would be misleading.

Unavailable metrics (named, not hidden)

Civilian injuries, firefighter injuries, and fire dollar loss have no authoritative per-county public source, so they are shown as “Data not publicly available”with the sources investigated. Missing data reduces Data Confidence; it never blanks a county.

A note on the death-count basis

Minnesota’s fire deaths here are incident-based fire-fatality counts from the Minnesota State Fire Marshal Division (counted where the fire occurred), the same basis used for Maryland. Because other states may use a residence-based (vital-statistics) basis, scores are ranked within Minnesota and are not a cross-state comparison.

Data Confidence (a core product)

Data Confidence communicates how much verifiable public evidence backs a county: the authority of its sources, how many public metrics exist, and how statistically reliable the outcome data is (a county with 0-2 fire deaths over five years has a real but uncertain rate). A data-rich county reads differently from a data-sparse one — and that difference is itself information. Confidence is never based on whether every county reports identically.

See the data sources behind every figure.